Category Archives: Prognostications and speculations

*Intelligence Squared: Eric Kaufmann and Razia Iqbal on the End of White Majorities

In this week’s podcast we were joined by Eric Kaufmann, Birkbeck politics professor and author of Whiteshift: Populism, Immigration and the Future of White Majorities, in conversation with the BBC’s Razia Iqbal. In a challenging and wide-ranging conversation, they discussed how demographic shifts are transforming our politics, and what we should do about it.

Source: Eric Kaufmann and Razia Iqbal on the End of White Majorities | Intelligence Squared on acast


Brookings Institute: How will emerging technologies affect the future of work?

Digital technologies are accelerating at a rapid rate. Autonomous vehicles are being tested in major cities, e-commerce is taking a higher percentage of retail sales, and automation is affecting sectors from restaurants to manufacturing. These developments are making many people nervous about the future of work in America. What kinds of skills will people need in the digital economy? How should we think about education and worker retraining? Do we need new types of public policies to deal with workforce ramifications? On April 12, The Center for Technology Innovation at the Brookings Institution hosted a discussion featuring experts on the future of work. Panelists talked about trends in emerging technologies and how robots, AI, and automation will affect the workforce. After the discussion, panelists answered questions from the audience.

Source: How will emerging technologies affect the future of work?

Cato Institute: CyberWork and the American Dream

Featuring the director James Shelley; and Elizabeth Cobbs, Professor and Melbern G. Glasscock Chair in American History, Texas A&M, senior fellow, Hoover Institution at Stanford University; moderated by Matthew Feeney, Director, Project on Emerging Technologies, Cato Institute.

The perceived threat of artificial intelligence (AI) to the American workforce and society more broadly has become a common topic of discussion among policymakers, academics, and the wider public. But is AI a threat? And if so, are there appropriate policy solutions? History is replete with examples of disruption caused by past technological advances. Are the lessons from those advances applicable to AI? These are just some of the questions addressed by the PBS television documentary CyberWork and the American Dream.

Please join us for a special screening of CyberWork and the American Dream followed by a discussion of these important issues.

Source: CyberWork and the American Dream | Cato Institute

Hidden Forces podcast: The end of the Everyting Bubble w/Kevin Smith and Otavio Costa

In this week’s episode of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Kevin Smith and Otavio Costa of Crescat Capital, in a continuation of our recent markets coverage, with a particular focus on specific indicators that could validate a bear market hypothesis.

It has been difficult not to feel anxiety and trepidation while looking out across the Value-Price Continuum during the last few years. Many of us understand that our economy no longer functions as advertised. Financialization of the US economy over the past four decades has skewed the relationship between price and value in favor of price, specifically in favor of higher prices. The unprecedented support that monetary authorities provided financial intermediaries and asset holders during the last bear market has created noticeable price distortions and has raised serious questions about the usefulness of traditional indicators in assessing asset values. It is also unclear how meaningful traditional economic data like GDP and unemployment are in the face of ever-higher nominal public/private debt levels and aging populations.

We have experienced three intermediate corrections during this secular bull market. Most notably, the periods between the summers of 2011 – 2012 and 2015 – 2016, which proved to be head-fakes for investors who were expecting the market to enter bear territory. With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite climbing above their all-time closing highs last week, will this last year’s declines prove similarly inconsequential, leading us ever higher in an unusually prolonged bull-market?

Kevin Smith and Otavio Costa make their case for why this market rally is different and how they are positioning Crescat Capital and its investors for the bear market to come.

This Is Hell! | How will we live and die at the end of this world? Deep Adaptation: A Map for Navigating Climate Tragedy

We’re probably going to die, each of us, younger than we had imagined. Nothing is certain, but it looks probable. Are we at peace with people we’ve affected throughout our lives? How do we feel about the fact that we’re going to die? How do we process and grieve that, and find a place of calm and joy without ignoring it? Without ignoring that it could be coming sooner than we had thought?

Sustainability scholar Jem Bendell looks to deep adaptation in the face of inevitable climate-induced social collapse – as the global system of carbon capitalism pushes life on this planet towards disaster, only a profound shift in the way we relate to the natural world, each other, and our own mortality can prepare us for the world that lies closer than we’d ever imagined.

Jem is author of the paper Deep Adaptation: A Map for Navigating Climate Tragedy.

Reason podcast: What Will Post-Prohibition Drug Culture Look Like?

With the rise of legal recreational marijuana across the country and an unwinding of the drug war on the horizon, more and more people are thinking about how best to shape America’s post-prohibition drug culture. What sorts of institutions, attitudes, and practices will help us figure out which chemicals we want to ingest to make ourselves happier, more productive, and more fulfilled? How do we best educate ourselves about the risks and rewards of better living through chemistry when everything from acid to Zoloft is legally in our home medicine cabinets?

Audio production by Ian Keyser.

Links related to today’s podcast:

Drug Test with Sarah Rose Siskind on Facebook

Caveat NYC

MAPS: Multidisciplinary Association for Psychedelic Studies

How to Change Your Mind: What the New Science of Psychedelics Teaches Us About Consciousness, Dying, Addiction, Depression, and Transcendence, by Michael Pollan

Trip: Psychedelics, Alienation, and Change, by Tao Lin

Hamilton’s Pharmacopeia, on Viceland